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Breakaway!

Breakaway!

One of my guilty pleasures is the 1970s TV show Space: 1999. I’ve been rewatching it lately, and something about it seems to have engaged one of my spare backup Muses.

Space: 1999 was a very odd duck, kind of the epitome of the kind of science-fiction programming you’d find on British TV in the 1970s. Probably due to its creators, the inestimable Gerry and Sylvia Anderson. It’s a mix of hard SF and wild space-operatic fantasy, with FX that were superb at the time but that look very dated today, and writing that veered from interesting to horrible. The cast were very good, and they did the best they could with the material they were handed.

For the past couple of weeks I’ve been thinking about building a RPG scenario around a similar premise. It seemed likely that I would need to update the technology a bit, and the timeline, and find a way to make the core premise more palatable. Still, I find the basic notion – a near-future space outpost, on a course it can’t control, its crew trying to survive a series of challenges – quite appealing.

So here’s a side project that I might post freebies for, on an occasional basis. The working title is Space: 2049, and it will probably end up as a collection of notes and RPG material updating the original show for a more modern sensibility. I’ll probably use GURPS for the game-oriented pieces, since this is all going to be fan-derivative work for free anyway.

To begin with, have a timeline!

Timeline of Moonbase Alpha – to Breakaway

1990Birth of Victor Bergman, in London, United Kingdom.
2007Birth of John Koenig, in New York City, United States.
2009Birth of Helena Russell, in Denver, United States.
2011Birth of David Kano, in St. Andrew, Jamaica.
2013Birth of Robert Mathias, in New York City, United States.
2016Birth of Alan Carter, in Sydney, Australia.

Birth of Antony Verdeschi, in Florence, Italy.

While teaching at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Victor Bergman has an annus mirabilis, publishing no fewer than five papers to revolutionize modern physics. In particular, Bergman’s theories suggest the possibility of direct control of gravitational forces.
2017Birth of Paul Morrow, in London, United Kingdom.
2018Birth of Tanya Aleksandr, in Weimar, Germany.
2023Birth of Sandra Benes, in Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei.
2028First practical applications of Bergman gravitational technology are developed. The new technology promises to revolutionize transportation, especially in space.
2029While attending MIT, John Koenig meets Victor Bergman, who becomes his lifelong mentor and advisor.
2033Victor Bergman is awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics.

Construction of Moonbase Alpha begins in the crater Plato, by the American space agency NASA. The new base is intended as an industrial center, and a headquarters to coordinate exploration of the solar system.
2035Launch of the Sojourner One probe, an unmanned vehicle using the experimental fast-neutron drive invented by Dr. Ernst Queller. The probe appears to be successful, but vanishes without a trace within days of launch.

Launch of the Sojourner Two probe ends in disaster when the Queller drive cuts in too early, killing hundreds of people. Dr. Ernst Queller is found not to be at fault, but he goes into seclusion regardless.

Outbreak of the Pacific War, a global conflict between democratic and authoritarian power blocs. Construction of Moonbase Alpha, and other space exploration activity, is paused during the conflict.
2038End of the Pacific War, after Earth narrowly avoids a nuclear exchange.

A number of new international institutions are established in the aftermath, to stabilize the global community and deal with several ongoing crises. Among these is the World Space Commission, a unified body coordinating human space-exploration efforts. A new era in manned exploration of the solar system begins.

The World Space Commission takes oversight of the Moonbase Alpha project, resuming construction. Bergman gravitational technology is integrated into the base’s design and architecture.

World Space Commission awards contracts for the development of a new transport spacecraft applying Bergman gravitational technology – the Eagle.
2042First Eagle transport spacecraft are deployed.
2044Manned expedition to Jupiter is lost after a massive engine failure. Lee Russell, medical officer and husband of Dr. Helena Russell, is presumed dead.

Discovery of the “ninth planet,” a small ice giant orbiting Sol at distances between 360 and 600 AU. The new planet is named Ultra.
2046Several Hawk fighter craft are deployed to defend against a putative attack on Earth from space.

Manned expedition to Ultra departs, commanded by Tony Cellini.
2047Expedition to Ultra returns to Earth, with Tony Cellini as its sole survivor. Cellini is grounded after a diagnosis of severe psychological strain and paranoid delusions, but has a partial recovery and is later reassigned to Moonbase Alpha.

Working at Moonbase Alpha, Victor Bergman discovers the so-called Meta Signal, a pattern of phased gravitational waves that seems to carry considerable encoded information. World Space Commission announces the first evidence of intelligent life in space.
2048Victor Bergman hypothesizes that humans could use gravitational waves to respond to the Meta Signal. He begins an effort to decode and translate the signal, but progress is very slow.
2049A scientific expedition is planned to the apparent source of the Meta Signal. Construction of the spacecraft begins at Moonbase Alpha.

9 September: John Koenig arrives on Moonbase Alpha as its new Commander, replacing Anton Gorski. Koenig has been assigned to get the Meta expedition launched, but he discovers an outbreak of medical and psychological issues among the crew, far worse than he had been led to believe.

12 September: Commissioner Gerald Simmonds arrives on Moonbase Alpha and immediately comes into conflict with Commander Koenig, who remains cautious about pushing forward the Meta project. Simmonds begins to insist that the expedition move into its next phase without further delay, and also presses to have Dr. Bergman issue an immediate response to the Meta Signal.

13 September: “Breakaway.” On the insistence of Commissioner Simmonds, Koenig authorizes a first response to the Meta Signal. The result is catastrophic – intensely focused artificial gravitation, which reaches out from deep space and accelerates the Moon out of Earth’s orbit. Moonbase Alpha finds itself hurtling into deep space, at speeds which make any evacuation back to Earth problematic.

16 September: The runaway Moon disappears entirely from Earth’s view, and all contact with Moonbase Alpha is lost. In fact, the human response to the Meta Signal has engaged a billions-of-years-old Forerunner stargate network. The Moon is now being conveyed through the network to an unknown destination.
An Interesting Alternate History

An Interesting Alternate History

Alexander Putting his Seal Ring over Hephaistion’s Lips, by Johann Heinrich Tischbein (1781)

While I slog through the Architect of Worlds draft, I’m still thinking about Hellenic alternate histories for my Danassos setting.

One of the most popular premises for a Hellenistic AH is the one in which Alexander the Great lives longer, perhaps long enough to see a legitimate heir born and recognized. Lots of people have played with that one . . . but I think I’ve found another one that’s just as interesting.

Suppose Hephaistion had lived longer?

Hephaistion, son of Amyntor, was Alexander’s closest friend and companion from boyhood, possibly his lover, certainly one of his most talented officers. Alexander trusted Hephaistion absolutely and without reservation – and that trust was apparently well-earned.

Hephaistion wasn’t just lucky enough to strike up a close relationship with his king. He was a competent diplomat and battlefield officer in his own right, often entrusted with important missions. He was apparently quite intelligent, patronizing the arts, maintaining his own years-long correspondence with Aristotle. With one or two exceptions, he got along well with his colleagues on Alexander’s staff. Most importantly, he understood Alexander – his ambitions, his ideas about building and governing a world-empire, his desire to build bridges between the Hellenic and Persian worlds. He was well-respected both among Makedonians and among Persians.

When Hephaistion died in 324 BCE, possibly due to complications of a bout of typhoid fever, it just about unhinged Alexander. The king lived only another eight months afterward, and it seems that the loss of his life-long companion had robbed him of something vital. When Alexander died in turn, at Babylon, he had made no provision for a regency or succession. That omission led the Makedonians to revert to their historical pattern of behavior, fighting ruthlessly over the throne, only this time on a much grander scale than before. The result was the complete extinction of Alexander’s royal line, and the permanent division of his empire. In the end, while Hellenistic culture came into its own, it was the rival empires of Rome and Parthia that inherited Alexander’s political ambitions.

If Hephaistion had survived to a decent age, it might not have added too many years to Alexander’s tally. By the time of his arrival in Babylon, Alexander had pretty thoroughly burned himself out and wrecked his physical health. Yet if Hephaistion had survived his king, there would have been no question of who would serve as Regent. He would also have been a competent guardian and foster father for Alexander’s son by Roxane. Doubtless others among Alexander’s generals would still have reached for their own ambitions, hoping to unseat Hephaistion or carve out their own kingdoms, but the imperial structure would have started out on a much sounder footing. It’s possible that Alexander’s empire would have remained intact for at least another generation.

This has possibilities – not least because I’m not aware of anyone else who has run with this specific premise. I’m going to tinker with the idea as time allows.

Human Destiny: Technology Levels

Human Destiny: Technology Levels

Here’s a small sample of material for the Human Destiny setting and game book that’s slowly taking shape. In the Cepheus Engine and related tabletop games, there’s often a system of “technology levels” that helps characterize what kind of gear and weapons one might expect to find on a given world. The concept has its problems, but it’s a quick shorthand that’s useful for game purposes. Since Human Destiny is eventually going to be published as a Cepheus Engine game, it seems useful to put together a set of “tech level” tables for the setting.

Here’s a first very rough draft for that section of the Human Destiny sourcebook.


Technology Levels in the Human Destiny Setting

The Khedai Hegemony maintains a sophisticated scheme for classifying the technological and social progress of emerging civilizations. The following system of “tech levels” is a (vastly simplified) shorthand for the Hegemony’s scheme.

General Technology

As is the standard in any Cepheus Engine game, Technology Level or Tech Level is a measure of the social, scientific, and industrial progress of a given world or society. In Hegemony documents, each TL has an evocative descriptor, and can be associated with an approximate era in human history.

TLDescriptorApproximate Date or Typical World
0Era of Stone ToolsPaleolithic, Mesolithic, or Neolithic society
1Era of Metal Tools3000 BCE
2Era of Exploration1500 CE
3Era of Mechanization1750 CE
4Era of Electricity1900 CE
5Era of Radio1930 CE
6Era of Atomic Power1950 CE
7Era of Space Exploration1970 CE
8Era of Information1990 CE
9Era of Crisis2020 CE
10 (A)Low Interstellar SocietyMinor human colony world or outpost
11 (B)Low Interstellar SocietyMajor human colony world or outpost
12 (C)Average Interstellar SocietyMaximum level for the Human Protectorate
13 (D)Average Interstellar SocietyMaximum level for a second-tier client society
14 (E)High Interstellar SocietyMaximum level for a first-tier client society
15 (F)High Interstellar SocietyMaximum level for the Khedai Hegemony as a whole

It may not be immediately obvious, but the Hegemony’s scheme for classifying technological progress includes two singularities, each of which creates a discontinuity in the above table.

The normal pattern for any newly evolving technological civilization is to progress from TL 0, passing through the higher levels in order, finally reaching some maximum level of social and technological progress. At this point the civilization invariably suffers an existential crisis that, at a minimum, forces all its component societies back to some lower TL. This may happen multiple times before the sapient species in question is finally driven into extinction. The highest point of independent development is almost never higher than TL 9. In fact, civilizations that reach TL 9 on their own almost always suffer particularly deadly collapses, likely to cause immediate species extinction – hence the term “Era of Crisis.”

The transition from TL 9 to TL A represents the first discontinuity or singularity in the scheme. Very few civilizations manage to pass the Era of Crisis on their own. Almost all societies that survive the transition and attain interstellar status do so only because an older civilization intervenes, as the Khedai Hegemony did with humanity.

Under the Praxis observed by the Khedai Hegemony, newly discovered sapient societies at TL 0-3 are observed from a distance under a strict non-interference policy. Societies at TL 4-9 are subject to close observation, and possibly annexation if (as in almost all cases) they appear unlikely to survive on their own.

The interstellar levels that follow (TL A through TL F) do not represent a hierarchy of new technologies that appear one after the other in a progressive fashion. Instead, they represent an array of mature technologies, all millions of years old, which are all available throughout the Hegemony. The TL of a world which falls in this range represents the kind of technology that is widely available on that world, because it is locally manufactured and can be supported by existing infrastructure. Items from a higher TL will also be available, but possibly at a higher cost in social credit, or with specific limitations under the Praxis.

Humans know nothing about any technologies above TL F. Humans may speculate, and the khedai doubtless know what technologies might be possible, but under the Praxis such possibilities are cloaked in silence. A few humans suspect that this silence conceals a second discontinuity or singularity, beyond which even the Hegemony dares not go.

Energy Technologies

The Hegemony’s scheme for classifying technologies is most strongly determined by a society’s ability to harness and direct energy to carry out the work of civilization.

TLTypical Developments
0Muscle power
Domesticated animals
Slave labor
1Hydromechanical power
Water wheels
2Wind power
Windmills
3Steam power
Exploitation of fossil fuels (coal)
Crude electrical transmission and storage
4Widespread use of electrical power
Exploitation of fossil fuels (oil, natural gas)
Oil refining to produce high-quality fuels
Hydroelectric power
5Rural electrification
Urban power grids
6Nuclear fission reactors
Regional power grids
7Increasing use of solar power
Continental power grids
8Mass application of renewable energy
9Crude “smart grids”
Possible abandonment of fossil fuels
10 (A)Advanced “smart grids”
Advanced fission power
Superconducting power transmission
Hyper-efficient power cells
Solar power satellites
Complete abandonment of fossil fuels
11 (B)Nuclear fusion reactors
12 (C)Advanced fusion power
13 (D)Antimatter generation and transport
14 (E)Advanced antimatter power
Portable fusion power
Catalyzed fusion
15 (F)Miniaturized fusion power

Communications and Information

This category covers technologies for generating, transmitting, storing, and applying information. It also includes various forms of artificial intelligence and artificial sapience.

TLTypical Developments
0Oral communication
1Written communication
Printing press (block printing)
Crude cryptography
2Printing press (movable type)
Advanced cryptography (manual)
3Telegraph
Early telephones
4Teletype
Widespread telephone networks
Advanced cryptography (electromechanical)
5Radio broadcasting
Massive special-purpose computing devices
6Television broadcasting
Massive general-purpose computing devices
Information theory
7Early packet-switched networks
Personal computers
Industrial automation
Advanced cryptography (digital)
Public-key cryptography
8Global Internet
Advanced personal computers
Advanced ICS/SCADA systems
Large-scale public-key infrastructures
9Miniaturized personal computers
Early natural-language interfaces
Early automatic translation
Sophisticated robots and drones
“Cloud” computing
Crude quantum computation
10 (A)Advanced natural-language interfaces
Advanced automatic translation
Cybershells
Ubiquitous computing
Large-scale quantum computation
11 (B)Sophisticated personal assistants
Advanced expert systems
Advanced cybershells
Sophisticated personality emulation
12 (C)Early Virtual Sapience systems
Fully Turing-capable systems
Undirected machine learning
“City minds”
13 (D)Advanced Virtual Sapience systems
14 (E)Early Artificial Sapience systems
Proof-of-consciousness systems
“World minds”
15 (F)Advanced Artificial Sapience systems
Transapience threshold

Environmental

This category covers technologies that can alter or maintain planetary environments. It also covers common developments in environmental awareness – the process by which a civilization learns how its own activities can impact the environment upon which it relies for support.

TLTypical Developments
0Agriculture and pastoralism
Early trade networks
Forest clearing
Overhunting
Megafaunal extinction
1Early cities
Basic aqueducts and sanitation
Advanced trade networks
Continental empires
2Global trade networks
Transcontinental empires and colonization
3Indoor plumbing
Advanced sanitation
Large-scale use of fossil fuels
Large-scale habitat destruction begins
4Super-cities (>1 million)
Large-scale water treatment
Sophontogenic climate change begins
5Super-cities (>10 million)
6Megalopolitan regions (>50 million)
“Green Revolution” in agriculture
Awareness of global harms from pollution
7Megalopolitan regions (>100 million)
Sophontogenic mass extinction begins
Awareness of sophontogenic climate change
8Gene-modified crop species
Awareness of sophontogenic mass extinction
9Crude geoengineering
Civilizational collapse
10 (A)Organic urban reserves
Advanced geoengineering
Climate and ecological remediation
De-extinction
11 (B)Domed cities
Artificial species to fill ecological niches
Type I (Mars) terraforming
12 (C)Advanced climate and ecological remediation
“Biome minds” monitor wild ecosystems
13 (D)Type II (Venus, Mercury, Luna) terraforming
14 (E)“World minds” monitor global ecosystems
15 (F)Type III (extremal) terraforming

Medical

This category covers medical and biological technologies.

TLTypical Developments
0Herbal remedies
Crude surgery and prosthetics
1Diagnostic process
Basic understanding of anatomy
2Advanced understanding of anatomy
Crude immunization techniques
3Germ theory and bacteriology
Epidemiology
Antiseptic surgery
Advanced anesthesia
Crude psychiatry
4Antibiotics
X-rays and other internal imaging
Public health measures
Mass vaccination
5Blood transfusions
Discovery of transplant rejection
6Eradication of some infectious diseases
Discovery of the structure of DNA
7Theories of molecular evolution
Crude genetic engineering
Advanced prosthetics
8Crude gene therapies
Simple genetically modified organisms
Crude sense-replacement implants
9Advanced sense-replacement implants
Crude artificial organs
10 (A)Advanced therapeutic gene modification
Extensively engineered organisms
Full-function artificial organs
Advanced geriatrics
Effective psychiatry
11 (B)Artificial plant and animal species
Simple pantropic engineering
12 (C)Nanotech therapies
Brain transplants
Personality recording (cyber ghosts)
Advanced pantropic engineering (germ-line)
13 (D)Full-body prosthetics (“bioroid” bodies)
14 (E)Biological immortality
Full personality uploading (cyber immortality)
15 (F)Cyber transcendence

Surface Transport

This category covers technologies for transport on or near a planetary surface.

TLTypical Developments
0Long-distance travel by foot
Domestic animals (riding, beasts of burden)
1Crude wheeled vehicles
Rowed watercraft
Early sailed watercraft
2Advanced wheeled vehicles
Blue-water sailing ships
3Steam engines
Railroads
Steamships
4Internal combustion engines
Early automobiles
Early aircraft
5Widespread automobiles
Local highway systems
Jet aircraft
Containerized shipping
6Large nuclear-powered vehicles
Continental highway systems
Supersonic aircraft
Global standards in containerization
7Early maglev systems
8High-speed maglev systems
9Early “self-driving” vehicles
10 (A)Early gravitic transport
Advanced “self-driving” vehicles
Regional and continental hyperloop
11 (B)Advanced gravitic transport
Transcontinental hyperloop
12 (C)Beanstalk interface
13 (D) 
14 (E) 
15 (F) 

Space Transport

This category covers technologies for transport and artificial stations in interplanetary or interstellar space.

TLTypical Developments
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5Sounding rockets
6Orbital rockets
Early interplanetary probes
7Manned spacecraft
Advanced interplanetary probes
8Reusable shuttles
Large-scale interface transport
Space telescopes
Small orbital stations (constant resupply)
9Crude interstellar probes
Manned interplanetary outposts
Moderate orbital stations (constant resupply)
10 (A)Early gravitic (reactionless) drives
Artificial gravity
Interplanetary colonization
Large and self-sufficient orbital stations
Planetoid habitats
11 (B)Advanced gravitic drives
“Space cities”
12 (C)Slow FTL (Alcubierre) drives
Interstellar colonization
13 (D)Medium FTL drives
Planetary “ring cities”
14 (E)Fast FTL drives
15 (F)Starbridge (wormhole) construction

Heavy Weaponry

This category covers weapon technologies for large-scale military use, as well as military applications of some other technological categories.

TLTypical Developments
0 
1Battering ram
Torsion-powered war engines
War chariot
War galley
2Bombards
Bronze and iron cannon
Crude rocket artillery
Blue-water warships
3Artillery
Rocket artillery
Heavy machine guns
Steam-powered warships
Reconnaissance balloons
4Crude chemical and biological weapons
Crude military aircraft
5Atomic weapons
Long-range ballistic missiles
Advanced chemical and biological weapons
Advanced military aircraft
6Thermonuclear weapons
Transcontinental-range ballistic missiles
Nuclear-powered warships
7 
8Early applications of cyberwarfare
9Full integration of cyber into kinetic warfare
Extensive use of drones and unmanned vehicles
Heavy mass-driver weapons and railguns
10 (A)Advanced cyberwarfare
Nanotech weapons (“devourer clouds”)
Advanced mass-driver weapons and railguns
Heavy laser cannon
11 (B)Gravitic artillery
Plasma cannon
Neural suppression field (“stunner”) weapons
12 (C)Fine-scale remote stunners
Nuclear fission suppression systems
13 (D)Fusion-temperature plasma cannon
X-ray laser cannon
14 (E) 
15 (F)Gamma-ray laser cannon

Personal Weaponry

This category covers weapon technologies for individual use.

TLTypical Developments
0Clubs and cudgels
Stone-tipped spears
Bow and arrow
Hide and leather armor
1Bronze and iron swords
Metal spearheads and arrowheads
Longbow, composite bow, and crossbow
Bronze and iron armor
Ring and scale mail
2Matchlock and wheellock firearms
3Flintlock firearms
Rifled firearms
Repeating firearms
4Cartridge ammunition
Light machine guns
5Advanced rifled firearms
6Submachine guns
7Grenade launchers
Advanced body armor (ballistic fabrics)
8Crude “smart weapons”
9Crude mass-driver or “gauss” weapons
10 (A)Advanced gauss weapons
11 (B)Gravitic weapons
Personal laser weapons
12 (C)Personal plasma weapons
Personal stunner weapons
13 (D) 
14 (E)Personal fusion weapons
Personal X-ray laser weapons
15 (F) 
Hard Left Turn at Bakhuysen Crater

Hard Left Turn at Bakhuysen Crater

As sometimes happens, my plan for creative work for the current month has taken a big leap out into left field. My original plan for May was to write up the last open section of Architect of Worlds, and release that for my patrons. Instead, I think I’m going to be living on Mars this month.

One of my Human Destiny subprojects is to develop the future history of colonization and terraforming of Mars in that universe. In a sense, Mars is where human beings first figure out how they might fit into the Hegemony’s interstellar society – setting aside the follies of old Earth, disciplining themselves to a centuries-long project in a harsh environment, learning galactic technologies and ways of life. I’ve already written one piece of fiction set on the planet, and Mars is going to be important for the story of my lead character, Aminata Ndoye. Meanwhile, I anticipate dedicating a lengthy section of the Atlas of the Human Protectorate just to describe late-23rd-Century Mars.

The spark for getting back to this subproject was the computer game Per Aspera. This is a logistics-engine game, focused on the colonization and terraforming of Mars. Early in May, the developers of Per Aspera released a new DLC which added a bunch of useful features to the game’s model. I sat down to spend a little time experimenting with the new version, thinking I would just spend an evening or two on it . . . but the result was a superb run which gave me all kinds of setting and story ideas. Forget devoting a section of the Atlas to Mars, I suspect I could write a complete tabletop RPG dedicated to this one planet.

Okay, that’s probably an excessive notion. Still, right now I think I could easily write a first draft of that section of the Atlas. I’m also experimenting with the QGIS software package as a tool for making useful maps of Mars. We have a lot of data about the topographical layout of the planet, so producing plausible maps is not going to be a problem.

So that’s the new plan for May: at the very least, produce a new interim partial draft of the Atlas for my patrons and readers. That will be a charged release if there’s at least ten or twelve thousand words of new material. If time permits, maybe knock out one or two maps of terraformed Mars to go with the new text. If I can get Mars out of my system over the new couple of weeks, then I should be able to turn back to that last section of Architect in June.

Status Report (16 April 2022)

Status Report (16 April 2022)

I’ve had some ups and downs so far this month, but at about the midpoint I do seem to be on track to reach some good milestones.

I spent the first week or so of April doing an overhaul of parts of the Architect of Worlds design sequence. I started out just trying to add an alternative mechanism for producing gas giant planets, but that ended up carrying so many implications that I eventually had to overhaul most of Steps Nine through Eleven. I’m still not happy with the smoothness of the revised text, although the model seems to be working well enough.

Once that was done, I went back to an extended test run for Architect, generating planetary systems for a reasonable cut of the stellar population near Sol. I’m working with the data set associated with the paper The 10 parsec sample in the Gaia era – this is probably the best census of the solar neighborhood available at the moment. As of this evening, I’ve gotten about to the five-parsec radius.

I started out systematically generating planetary systems for every star on the list. Mostly this was to verify something I suspected about red-dwarf and brown-dwarf systems – that they are very unlikely to generate planets where humans can comfortably settle. So far I think I’ve confirmed that suspicion. I don’t think it’s impossible to find an Earthlike world in a red-dwarf system, but those stars have so many factors stacked against them that such cases are probably quite rare. Scientific and mining outposts, maybe, but not prosperous colonies. So after I generated 19 red-dwarf and brown-dwarf systems, I dropped those and concentrated on the brighter stars, spectral type K and up.

I now have 13 planetary systems for those brighter stars, and I’m encouraged to see that Architect is doing a decent job of generating Earthlike worlds (generously defined) for them. If we want air with sufficient free oxygen in it to breathe without too much artificial aid, that doesn’t seem to be a problem.

Counting Earth, I have six habitable worlds within five parsecs of Sol:

  • Sol III (Earth)
  • Alpha Centauri A-III (a super-Earth with a helium-nitrogen-oxygen atmosphere)
  • 61 Cygni B-III (tide-locked)
  • Epsilon Indi A-II (tide-locked)
  • Groombridge 1618 III (tide-locked)
  • 70 Ophiuchi A-III (a true Earth-analog, no helium, not tide-locked)

Not bad. Looks like Architect is going to give us a fair number of tide-locked Earthlikes, and the occasional super-Earth with weird but breathable atmosphere. The variety even in this short list is nice to see.

Eventually I plan to work all the way out to the ten-parsec radius, but this will do for now as a stress test for Architect. For the bottom half of April I’m going to switch to writing up some of these worlds and planetary systems, as a first installment in the rough draft of the Atlas of the Human Protectorate.

So for my patrons and readers, here’s the likely release schedule for this month.

I do have a new interim draft (v0.9) of the main section of Architect of Worlds, but I think I’m going to hold off on pushing that out to everyone until I’ve had a chance to go through and polish up the text a bit. I think I also want to get to the long-delayed project of cleaning up all the mathematical formulae so that I’m using more standardized variable names and formats. You may see a v0.9 draft next month sometime.

On the other hand, I’m pretty confident I can have a first interim draft of the Atlas of the Human Protectorate ready by the end of April, with at least 10,000 to 12,000 words of material in it. That v0.1 draft will be a charged release for my patrons. I may charge for further additions to that draft, as I have with new sections of Architect or other book-length projects, but only if and when there’s enough genuinely new material to justify it.

More updates as things develop, as always.

New Models for Gas Giant Formation

New Models for Gas Giant Formation

Protoplanetary disk of the young star AB Aurigae. Notice the distinctive spiral-arm-like structures. One of these appears to be associated with the formation of a massive gas giant planet, at an unusually large distance from the protostar.

I’ve spent the first few days of April working with the current version of Architect of Worlds, building planetary systems for nearby stars. Almost immediately, I’ve run into an issue which may be connected to recent scientific results.

It’s ironic that the process of writing Architect has been a little like doing original scientific research. The book’s main design sequence, when you get right down to it, is a big elaborate model that I hope will have predictive value, in that it will generate planetary systems that resemble what we’re seeing in the real universe. The goal is fictional plausibility, not true explanatory power, but the process of development is often the same. If I start comparing the model to the real universe (that is, to known exoplanetary systems) and the model seems unable to mimic the visible results, then there’s a problem and I need to adjust the model.

The immediate issue is that the current (v0.8) draft of the Architect design sequence assumes the core accretion model for planetary formation. That is to say, we assume that planets form in certain regions of the protoplanetary disk, when solid particles clump together and form protoplanets massive enough to start quickly accreting more material. We expect smaller rocky planets to form inside the “snow line,” in a region where water ice isn’t available. We expect gas giant planets to form outside, with the largest gas giant preferentially forming close to the line. We also play with planetary migration and the so-called “Grand Tack” model, so that the largest gas giant may move inward or outward from that initial position, but only within reasonable limits.

Our own planetary system seems to fit that model reasonably well, as do many of the other exoplanetary systems we’re aware of. There’s a catch, though. In some cases, we find what appears to be the largest gas giant forming far outside the snow line. Much further than the core-accretion model can account for, even with a generous “Grand Tack” hypothesis thrown in. Here are some examples I’ve pulled together over the past few days:

StarPredicted Snow LineInnermost Gas GiantRatio
Wolf 3590.15 AU1.85 AU12.3
Proxima Centauri0.17 AU1.49 AU8.8
Lalande 211850.56 AU2.85 AU5.1
Groombridge 340.59 AU5.40 AU9.2
Gliese 8320.75 AU3.46 AU4.6
Epsilon Indi1.75 AU11.55 AU6.6
HR 87998.10 AU16.25 AU2.0
AB Aurigae23.30 AU93.00 AU4.0

Of all these cases, only HR 8799 is one that the current version of Architect could easily handle, and even that planetary system is problematic – because we know of four exoplanets there, and the one on this table is only the innermost of the four. Most of these gas giants are much further out than my current “Grand Tack” procedures could possibly account for.

Meanwhile, the masses of most of these exoplanets are a lot higher than we would normally expect for their primary stars. For example, several of these stars are low-mass red dwarfs – we wouldn’t normally expect them to generate gas giant planets at all. Some of the others have planets several times as massive as Jupiter, approaching masses more typical of brown dwarfs.

Notice the first few rows on this table are several of the stars closest to Sol. If I’m running into difficulty this quickly, that means I’m not seeing rare special cases here. There’s some way in which planetary formation just isn’t (always) working as I expect. Not the first time this has happened during the development of Architect of Worlds, and it won’t be the last.

Fortunately, there’s a new model that seems to help. That’s the so-called disk instability model for the formation of gas giant planets. Apparently, at least in some cases, gas giants don’t form close to the snow line via a well-behaved process of core accretion. Instead, especially if the protoplanetary disk is unusually dense, or if gravitational interaction from nearby stars stirs things up, the disk becomes unstable. Simulations of the process show that much of the disk can form “spiral arms” rather like those of a galaxy . . . and the result can be the rapid formation of unusually massive planets much further out from the protostar than expected.

We’ve actually imaged an example of this happening, as some very recent results show. The very young star AB Aurigae appears to be in the process of forming a massive gas giant, over 90 AU out from the protostar (the last line of the table above covers this case). This, along with some other observations, seems to lend some credence to the disk instability model for at least some planetary formation.

What this means for Architect of Worlds is that I’m probably going to need to add some material to the current Steps Nine and Ten, in which the structure of the protoplanetary disk and the arrangement of the outer planetary system are determined. I think I’ve already worked out some of the details, so I may be able to make the necessary revisions to my working (v0.9) draft within another day or two. Then I should be able to get back to the test run on which I had planned to spend the month of April.

All of which means that my patrons and other readers can reasonably expect a free v0.9 update to the main Architect document this month, along with anything else I produce.

Architect of Worlds: the “Special Cases” Outline

Architect of Worlds: the “Special Cases” Outline

A quick taste for what I’ll be working on this month. This is a section of the eventual book that will cover “special cases” in the design process, things that stand as exceptions or as extra details outside the main body of the world design sequence.

Hopefully this will end up being enough material (10-15 thousand words or more) to justify a new release for my patrons this month. Actually, now would also be a good time for any of my readers to suggest anything else that might fit into this section. Drop me a line if there’s some special topic that you want to see addressed that isn’t in this sketch outline.

Special Cases in Worldbuilding

  • Generating Stars in Unusual Regions
    • OB Associations
    • Open Clusters and Stellar Associations
    • Inter-Arm Space
    • Galactic Halo
  • Unusual Stars
    • Massive Main-Sequence Stars
    • Neutron Stars
    • Black Holes
    • Flare Stars
  • Planetary Systems for Non-Main Sequence Stars
    • Brown Dwarfs
    • Subgiant and Giant Stars
    • White Dwarfs and Stellar Remnants
  • Planetary Systems for Multiple Stars
  • Special Features for Planetary Systems
    • Asteroids and Comets
    • Planetoid Belts
    • Kuiper Belt
    • Oort Cloud
    • Rogue Planets
    • Trojan Planets
  • Unusual Worlds
    • Ammonia Worlds
    • Carbon Worlds
    • Chthonian Worlds
    • Lava Worlds
  • Fine-Tuning World Climate
    • Effects of Orbital Eccentricity
    • Effects of Obliquity
    • Effects of Daily Rotation
    • Effects of Altitude
    • Effects of Local Geography
    • Tide-Locked Worlds

New Release for “Architect of Worlds”

New Release for “Architect of Worlds”

Just a very quick note, for folks who aren’t my patrons and don’t follow me on Facebook. Earlier today, I released a new interim draft of the world-design sequence document from Architect of Worlds. It’s available for free on the Architect of Worlds page on this site.

This is probably the last version of this material I’ll be releasing for free – other sections of the book are exclusive for my patrons, and the book itself is slowly moving toward being ready for final draft and release. I’m kind of hoping that 2022 is the year I finally finish this project.

Still, if you’re interested in this kind of scientific geekery, feel free to have a look.

Two Planetary Systems

Two Planetary Systems

Time for a quick taste of how the new Architect of Worlds version is turning out.

Long-time followers of this project will remember the two running examples in the draft: planetary systems named Arcadia and Beta Nine that are intended to demonstrate how the system works in practice. I’m in the process of re-working all of the examples, which should be the last step before I share the current draft with my patrons and my readers here.

Here are a couple of tables to suggest some of the results of the revised system.

Arcadia Planetary System
Orbital RadiusPlanet TypePlanet MassDensityRadiusSurface Gravity
0.254 AUTerrestrial Planet0.260.754470 km0.53 g
0.380 AUTerrestrial Planet1.751.097460 km1.28 g
0.580 AUTerrestrial Planet1.341.106800 km1.17 g
1.00 AUTerrestrial Planet0.220.744250 km0.49 g
2.12 AUPlanetoid BeltN/AN/AN/AN/A
4.08 AULarge Gas Giant4600.2084100 km2.64 g
8.12 AUMedium Gas Giant1800.07585300 km1.00 g
12.0 AUSmall Gas Giant52.00.1445800 km1.00 g
17.6 AUFailed Core2.801.138620 km1.53 g

Not too many surprises here – this resembles the previous version’s Arcadia system fairly strongly. For some context, the primary star here is a singleton K2V, with about four-fifths the mass and one-third the luminosity of Sol. The third planet (at 0.58 AU) is the Earthlike candidate that I intend to use as an example for the last portion of the design sequence.

Beta Nine Planetary System
Orbital RadiusPlanet TypePlanet MassDensityRadiusSurface Gravity
0.027 AUTerrestrial Planet1.221.096610 km1.13 g
0.038 AUTerrestrial Planet0.941.016220 km0.99 g
0.062 AUPlanetoid BeltN/AN/AN/AN/A
0.135 AUSmall Gas Giant12.00.2922000 km1.00 g
0.390 AUFailed Core2.801.168540 km1.56 g

The Beta Nine primary is an M4V red dwarf, with about 0.18 solar masses and less than 1% of Sol’s luminosity. It also has a brown-dwarf companion that cuts off planetary formation too far away from the primary. This planetary system is actually quite a bit different from the previous draft’s Beta Nine. The new model I’m using provides enough planetesimal mass for at least a small gas giant world, and it also allows for the possibility that some of that planetesimal mass “migrates” into the inner system to help form rocky worlds. So we end up with more planets this time, and the terrestrial worlds are considerably bigger.

One inspiration here is the TRAPPIST-1 planetary system. My old model didn’t have much trouble generating a planetary system like that for a small red dwarf, but it needed a pretty massive protoplanetary disk to do it. Under the new model, a red dwarf star doesn’t need an improbably big disk mass to have a chance at Earth-sized worlds. Given how many red dwarfs we’ve found with planets of significant size, I suspect the new model fits the facts better.

I’m hoping to have the new draft out as a free update for my patrons, and as an update to the version posted on this site, within a few days.

New Models for Planetary Formation

New Models for Planetary Formation

Rings in the protoplanetary disk around the young star HD163296 (Image courtesy of Andrea Isella/Rice University)

The science of planetary formation has been advancing in leaps and bounds for the last decade or two, driven by the discovery of thousands of exoplanets and fine-detail imaging of other planetary systems. This has been giving us a lot of insight into not only the history of our own Solar System, but also the general case of planetary formation elsewhere.

With my Architect of Worlds project, I’ve been trying to keep abreast of the current science while designing a world-building system for use in game design and literary work. The current state of the system is pretty good, I think, but it’s a bit complicated. I’ve built a model that tracks the formation of a system’s primary gas giant (if any), follows that planet as it migrates inward (and possibly outward), and uses the results of that evolution to determine the mass and placement of the rest of the planets. Lots of moving parts there, and a few of the steps are kind of unwieldy.

Now there’s some recent research suggesting that I might be able to simplify the model and still get good results. The pertinent paper is “Planetesimal rings as the cause of the Solar System’s planetary architecture,” by Andre Izidoro et al., released in December 2021. Here’s a layman’s article from Rice University: “Earth isn’t ‘super’ because the sun had rings before planets,” published on 4 January.

The idea is that it wasn’t specifically the migrations of Jupiter that brought about the architecture we see of the inner Solar System. Instead, the protoplanetary disk probably had several “pressure bumps,” places where infalling particles released gases due to the increasing temperature close to the embryonic Sun. These pressure bumps tended to accumulate dust particles, and created an environment where planetesimals could form and coalesce, without continuing to spiral into the Sun. The authors of the paper predict the presence of three such “pressure bumps,” which ended up giving rise to the rocky inner planets, the gas giants, and the Kuiper Belt objects respectively.

The idea makes a lot of sense, especially since we’ve started to get fine-detail images of young stars and their protoplanetary disks, and we sometimes see exactly the system of “rings” that the model would predict. Take the image that leads the Rice University article, which I’ve included above.

Scientifically, speaking, the neat thing about this new model is that it explains several things that previous models (which assumed a more uniform disk and relied on Jupiter-migrations to make things work out) had trouble with – especially the specific isotopic composition of inner-system as opposed to outer-system material. The new model also doesn’t have any trouble producing a small Mercury or Mars, or a planetoid belt (with mixed composition) between Mars and Jupiter.

From my perspective, it may mean that I can simplify the model on which Architect of Worlds is built, making the whole thing much easier for people to use. I’m going to be reading the literature on this, and thinking about the implications.